Friday, March 2, 2012

MLB Playoff Expansion: How Adding a Wild Card may harm the Wild Cards



Major League Baseball announced on Friday how the agreed-upon expansion belonging using the Wild Card will officially start this season. This could be the very least surprising information belonging using the year.

The structure only adds a one-game playoff, but expanded playoffs signify additional nationally televised removal games, which suggests additional eye balls on baseball in October, which means, most importantly, additional budget for MLB. On its face, the expansion is fine, although I'm truly instead astonished how numerous people nowadays are in favor of it.

Sure, most managers and managers will be in favor of expansion generally since it offers every one set a drastically better shot to create the playoffs. Charlie Manuel belonging using the Philadelphia Phillies, however, is not among that group. Uncle Cholly arrived out earlier this month in opposition using the expanded playoffs, fearing it will even more de-emphasize the standard period of your time and marginalize the playoffs.

Remember, the Phillies won 102 fits last period of your time earlier to getting eliminated with a wild-card set that won 90 games. Clearly, adding additional clubs in to the combination does not excite the manager belonging using the league's most effective ballclub.


Some pundits stress that adding an even more set would have truly aided the Phillies last season. once the Cardinals experienced to come throughout the Braves in an exceptionally winner-take-all play-in game, the profitable set of that matchup would are actually even additional taxed on the way in to the Division sequence toward the Phillies. Certainly, managers wouldn't possess the ability to sustain pitchers back again from this one-game playoff, so even once the wild-card clubs are arranged properly in advance, the additional playoff film game can only help the best seed in every one league.

Having stated that, the logistics of the year's schedule will give the wild-card winner two house fits to begin the divisional round, used by three for the street in the best seed. I completely grasp the holiday troubles in an exceptionally truncated time frame, but MLB is totally satisfying the wild-card winner by providing them the principal two fits at home.

If among the wild-card clubs is riding a warm streak to finish off the season—or even utilizes the one-game playoff film game to acquire warm on the way in to the Division Series—they now have two fits at house to begin the series, placing an enormous amount of stress for the best seed to triumph all three belonging using the remaining fits within their playground if they drop the principal two for the road.

With all that said, it's not the best seeds who must acquire complaining. In theory, the best seeds (after this season's scheduling quirk) is on the way to be at an important advantage in spite of the reality that in the Division sequence transferring forward. The clubs that possess a legitimate excuse to complain concerning the brand new expansion are…the wild-card teams.


Wait, what? the brand new rule offers additional wild-card clubs a probability to hold out in spite of the reality that in the article season. How will be the wild-card clubs getting screwed here?

Well, the present wild-card clubs will be the types getting the shaft. The "fourth seed" in every one league—though typically the Wild Card has additional wins than other division winners and, right up until this year, could not hold out the best seed if that set was in spite of the reality that in identical division—will now should come throughout a one-game playoff to advance to some round they would have previously certified for in spite of the reality that in the outdated system.

Yes, adding a fifth set to every one league's bracket does ensure the fourth-place set a modicum of breathing room, but how awesome can that breathing space really feel once they know it doesn't issue how numerous fits forward belonging using the fifth seed they finish off the standard season?

In 2010, the 95-win ny Yankees lost their division, but certified using the playoffs since the Wild Card. That team, below the brand new rules, would have hosted the 89-win Boston red-colored Sox in an exceptionally one-game playoff. The Yankees experienced 6 additional wins than Boston that season, but below the brand new playoff structure, Boston would need only one win—albeit for the road—to advance previous the Yankees in spite of the reality that in the playoffs.


In 2009, the 95-win red-colored Sox would have hosted the 87-win Rangers in an exceptionally one-game playoff, in spite of the reality how the 92-win Rockies would have hosted the 88-win Giants. In the two of those instances, the real wild-card winner is getting immensely punished for not profitable its division, however qualifying using the playoffs with an enormous margin.

You could create a circumstance the red-colored Sox must acquire punished for not profitable their division, but they experienced eight additional wins compared to middle champion Minnesota Twins that season, producing the complete "winning your division" argument a tad disingenuous.

As using the Rockies, they experienced 4 additional wins than a division rival, but would should come throughout them in an exceptionally one-game sequence to proceed on? That just does not appear fair.

In 2008, the 95-win red-colored Sox would have hosted the 89-win Yankees, a 6 film game distinction when once more settled by one game.

In 2007, we would have experienced complete chaos. Detroit and Seattle the two won 88 games, which would have triggered a one-game playoff to ascertain which set advanced to some one-game playoff using the 94-win Yankees.

The checklist can go each of the way in which back again to once the Wild Card started. 2006 would have observed an even more six-game disparity among the 95-win Tigers as well as the 89-win Angels.


In 2004—the yr the red-colored Sox broke the curse—Boston won 98 games, but lost their division using the 101-win Yankees earlier to sweeping the Angels and dispatching ny in spite of the reality that in the ALCS, en route to some world Series, curse-breaking sweep belonging using the Cardinals.

That red-colored Sox set would have faced a one-game playoff toward the Oakland A's, who won 91 fits that season, potentially altering baseball history forever. You in no way know, Moneyball could have ended differently.

While the brand new rule is on the way to be decent for additional fans in additional market segments through the standard season, preserving clubs in spite of the reality that in the race much extended than in earlier years, it's obviously not best and may make you wonder if it's truly any better.

Expanding the playoffs in no way is perfect, but in the exceptionally least, Bud Selig has guaranteed his genuine legacy will stay completely intact. When we see a run of 100-win clubs getting knocked out by 88-win clubs who obtained warm in the exact time and create a run using the championship, we know who to thank…and blame.

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